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EUR/NOK tumbles to 2019 lows near 9.5800 on CPI

  • The cross drops further and records fresh yearly lows.
  • Norway CPI came in at 2.9% YoY in March.
  • ECB meeting next of relevance in the session.

The Norwegian Krone is appreciating to fresh 2019 highs vs. its European peer today, forcing EUR/NOK to drop to the vicinity of the 9.5800 area.

EUR/NOK weaker post-CPI figures

The buying interest around NOK picked up pace today after inflation figures in the Scandinavian economy surprised to the upside, showing consumer prices rising 2.9% on a year to March. Higher prices in Education, Restaurants and Hotels and Transport collaborated the most with the CPI raise.

Additional data saw Core inflation rising 0.3% inter-month and Core CPI YTD advancing 2.7%. Furthermore, Producer Prices rose 5.2% from a year earlier.

What to look for around NOK

The mood around the risk complex, Brent-dynamics and solid fundamentals continue to be the main drivers for the Norwegian currency for the time being. In the broader picture, fundamentals in the Nordic economy remain strong and the Norges Bank is expected to hike rates once again at the June meeting. This view has been reinforced by the recent auspicious results from the latest Regional Network Survey, which stressed the growth outlook for the economy remains strong.

EUR/NOK significant levels

As of writing the cross is retreating 0.38% at 9.5951 and a break below 9.5845 (2019 low Apr.10) would aim for 9.5533 (78.6% Fibo of the October-December rally) and finally 9.5027 (monthly low Nov.8 2018). On the upside, the next hurdle emerges at 9.6486 (200-day SMA) followed by 9.6687 (high Apr.5) and then 9.7070 (55-day SMA).

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